Single poll

IM Field poll of 15 June 2019 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Leipziger Volkszeitung
Fieldwork period
29 May 2019 to 4 Jun 2019
Respondents
704
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD24.0%+6.0
  • CDU24.0%-3.0
  • Linke15.0%-2.0
  • Grüne14.0%-2.0
  • SPD8.0%-3.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%+2.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous IM Field poll of 22 Mar 2019.

In this poll IM Field has AfD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 704 people were surveyed from 29 May 2019 to 4 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Leipziger Volkszeitung.

Compared with the previous IM Field poll of 22 Mar 2019, AfD gains 6.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, IM Field has CDU 2.7 points lower and Linke 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.7average 26.7
  • Linke -1.7average 16.7
  • SPD -1.3average 9.3
  • AfD +1.1average 22.9
  • Grüne +1.0average 13.0
  • FDP -0.1average 6.1
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

AfD: 32 seatsCDU: 31 seatsLinke: 20 seatsGrüne: 18 seatsSPD: 11 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • AfD32
  • CDU31
  • Linke20
  • Grüne18
  • SPD11
  • FDP8
  • AfD + CDU63 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne70 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne69 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD63 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD62 of 120
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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