Single poll

IM Field poll of 23 November 2018 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Sächsische Zeitung
Fieldwork period
2 to 14 Nov 2018
Respondents
1,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU29.0%-4.0
  • AfD24.0%+1.0
  • Linke17.0%-1.0
  • SPD11.0%-1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+4.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous IM Field poll of 7 Dec 2017.

In this poll IM Field has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 2 to 14 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.

Compared with the previous IM Field poll of 7 Dec 2017, CDU loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.4average 6.6
  • Linke -1.2average 18.2
  • AfD -0.6average 24.6
  • SPD -0.1average 11.1
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
  • CDU ±0average 29.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 37 seatsAfD: 30 seatsLinke: 21 seatsSPD: 14 seatsGrüne: 10 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU37
  • AfD30
  • Linke21
  • SPD14
  • Grüne10
  • FDP8
  • CDU + AfD67 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD72 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne68 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + FDP66 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD65 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne61 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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