Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 26 September 2024 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
Saarländischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
19 to 23 Sep 2024
Respondents
1,558
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU31.0%+3.0
  • SPD29.0%-9.0
  • AfD14.0%+4.0
  • BSW10.0%
  • Grüne5.0%-3.0
  • Others11.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Mar 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,558 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Sep 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Saarländischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Mar 2023, SPD loses 9.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 7.0 points lower and AfD 5.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -7.0average 36.0
  • AfD +5.5average 8.5
  • CDU +3.0average 28.0
  • BSW +1.0average 9.0
  • Grüne ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 18 seatsSPD: 17 seatsAfD: 8 seatsBSW: 5 seatsGrüne: 3 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • CDU18
  • SPD17
  • AfD8
  • BSW5
  • Grüne3
  • CDU + SPD35 of 51
  • CDU + AfD26 of 51
  • SPD + AfD + BSW30 of 51
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne28 of 51
  • CDU + BSW + Grüne26 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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