Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 20 August 2026 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR
Fieldwork period
13 to 18 Aug 2026
Respondents
1,158
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU28.0%-1.0
  • AfD24.0%+5.0
  • SPD19.0%-9.0
  • Grüne11.0%+3.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%
  • Freie Wähler3.0%-1.5
  • Others7.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Mar 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,158 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Mar 2026, SPD loses 9.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 8.0 points lower and AfD 4.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -8.0average 27.0
  • AfD +4.5average 19.5
  • Grüne +2.0average 9.0
  • Freie Wähler -1.8average 4.8
  • CDU -0.5average 28.5
  • Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 32 seatsAfD: 28 seatsSPD: 22 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU32
  • AfD28
  • SPD22
  • Grüne13
  • Linke6
  • CDU + AfD60 of 101
  • CDU + SPD54 of 101
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne63 of 101
  • AfD + SPD + Linke56 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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