Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 12 March 2026 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
9 to 11 Mar 2026
Respondents
1,534
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU29.0%+1.0
  • SPD28.0%+1.0
  • AfD19.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler4.5%-0.5
  • Others6.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Feb 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,534 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Feb 2026, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 6.0 points higher and AfD 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +6.0average 22.0
  • AfD -4.0average 23.0
  • CDU +2.0average 27.0
  • Freie Wähler +1.5average 3.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 9.0
  • Linke -1.0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 33 seatsSPD: 32 seatsAfD: 21 seatsGrüne: 9 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU33
  • SPD32
  • AfD21
  • Grüne9
  • Linke6
  • CDU + SPD65 of 101
  • CDU + AfD54 of 101
  • SPD + AfD53 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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