Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 22 January 2026 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR
Fieldwork period
14 to 20 Jan 2026
Respondents
1,151
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU29.0%±0
  • SPD26.0%+3.0
  • AfD18.0%-1.0
  • Grüne10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Oct 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,151 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Jan 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Oct 2025, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.7 points higher and AfD 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.7average 23.3
  • AfD -2.5average 20.5
  • CDU +1.5average 27.5
  • Freie Wähler +0.5average 3.5
  • Grüne +0.2average 9.8
  • Linke +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 33 seatsSPD: 30 seatsAfD: 20 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU33
  • SPD30
  • AfD20
  • Grüne11
  • Linke7
  • CDU + SPD63 of 101
  • CDU + AfD53 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne61 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Linke57 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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