Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 9 October 2025 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
1 to 7 Oct 2025
Respondents
1,158
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU29.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • AfD19.0%+2.0
  • Grüne10.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Jun 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,158 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Oct 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Jun 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 1.5 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.5average 27.5
  • AfD -1.5average 20.5
  • Freie Wähler +0.5average 3.5
  • SPD -0.3average 23.3
  • Grüne +0.2average 9.8
  • Linke +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 33 seatsSPD: 27 seatsAfD: 22 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU33
  • SPD27
  • AfD22
  • Grüne12
  • Linke7
  • CDU + SPD60 of 101
  • CDU + AfD55 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne61 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Linke56 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke52 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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