Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
29 to 30 Apr 2024
Respondents
1,323
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
  • Grüne15.0%-2.0
  • AfD15.0%+3.0
  • SPD14.0%-3.0
  • BSW7.0%
  • FDP4.0%-3.0
  • Others15.0%+9.0

Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,323 people were surveyed from 29 to 30 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2019, AfD gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 15.2
  • BSW +1.1average 5.9
  • AfD -0.8average 15.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 30.7
  • FDP +0.6average 3.4
  • Grüne -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 34 seatsGrüne: 17 seatsAfD: 17 seatsSPD: 16 seatsBSW: 8 seatsFDP: 4 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU34
  • Grüne17
  • AfD17
  • SPD16
  • BSW8
  • FDP4
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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