Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 April 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
9 to 11 Apr 2024
Respondents
1,254
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.5
  • AfD16.0%+4.0
  • Grüne15.0%-3.5
  • BSW5.0%
  • FDP3.0%-2.5
  • Linke3.0%-3.5
  • Others12.0%±0

Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 May 2019.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,254 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 May 2019, AfD gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.5 points, Linke loses 3.5 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW -1.3average 6.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 30.8
  • FDP -0.8average 3.8
  • SPD +0.6average 15.4
  • Grüne +0.6average 14.4
  • AfD -0.5average 16.5
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 33 seatsSPD: 18 seatsAfD: 18 seatsGrüne: 16 seatsBSW: 5 seatsFDP: 3 seatsLinke: 3 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU33
  • SPD18
  • AfD18
  • Grüne16
  • BSW5
  • FDP3
  • Linke3
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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