Single poll

Forsa poll of 15 March 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
12 to 13 Mar 2024
Respondents
1,008
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU34.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%+5.0
  • Grüne14.0%-6.0
  • BSW4.0%
  • FDP3.0%-5.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Linke2.0%-4.0
  • Others9.0%+3.0

Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Jan 2019.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,008 people were surveyed from 12 to 13 Mar 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Jan 2019, Grüne loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, FDP loses 5.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 4.0 points higher and AfD 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +4.0average 30.0
  • AfD -3.0average 18.0
  • BSW -2.5average 6.5
  • SPD +2.0average 14.0
  • FDP -1.5average 4.5
  • Linke -1.3average 3.3
  • Grüne +0.5average 13.5
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 36 seatsSPD: 17 seatsAfD: 16 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsBSW: 4 seatsFDP: 3 seatsFreie Wähler: 3 seatsLinke: 2 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU36
  • SPD17
  • AfD16
  • Grüne15
  • BSW4
  • FDP3
  • Freie Wähler3
  • Linke2
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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