Single poll

Civey poll of 14 May 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
7 to 14 May 2019
Respondents
5,043
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU30.4%-1.2
  • Grüne18.2%+0.9
  • SPD16.9%+0.7
  • AfD10.7%-0.7
  • FDP7.2%-1.1
  • Linke7.1%+0.4
  • Others9.5%+1.0

Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 Apr 2019.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.4%, followed by Grüne on 18.2%. 5,043 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.2 points, FDP loses 1.1 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.1average 19.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 31.0
  • SPD +0.6average 16.3
  • AfD -0.6average 11.3
  • Linke +0.3average 6.8
  • FDP +0.2average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 32 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsSPD: 18 seatsAfD: 11 seatsFDP: 8 seatsLinke: 8 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU32
  • Grüne19
  • SPD18
  • AfD11
  • FDP8
  • Linke8
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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