Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 December 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
7 to 12 Dec 2022
Respondents
1,429
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Dec 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,429 people were surveyed from 7 to 12 Dec 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Dec 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 19.4
  • FDP +0.4average 6.6
  • Grüne -0.3average 19.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
  • AfD -0.1average 14.1
  • Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsGrüne: 131 seatsSPD: 125 seatsAfD: 97 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • Grüne131
  • SPD125
  • AfD97
  • FDP48
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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