Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
8 to 14 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,895
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
  • Grüne22.0%-1.0
  • SPD20.0%-2.0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Jun 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,895 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Jun 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Jun 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 21.4
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • Grüne +0.9average 21.1
  • Linke -0.6average 4.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
  • FDP +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 203 seatsGrüne: 159 seatsSPD: 145 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU203
  • Grüne159
  • SPD145
  • AfD65
  • FDP58
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD369 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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