Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
24 to 31 May 2022
Respondents
1,428
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne23.0%+2.0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 May 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,428 people were surveyed from 24 to 31 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 May 2022, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.0 points higher and AfD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.0average 21.0
  • AfD -1.6average 9.6
  • SPD -1.4average 21.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
  • Linke -0.4average 4.4
  • FDP -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 203 seatsGrüne: 166 seatsSPD: 145 seatsFDP: 58 seatsAfD: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU203
  • Grüne166
  • SPD145
  • FDP58
  • AfD58
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP369 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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