Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 May 2022
Respondents
1,425
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • Grüne21.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 May 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,425 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 May 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 23.3
  • Grüne +1.0average 20.0
  • Linke +0.8average 4.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
  • FDP -0.4average 8.4
  • AfD +0.2average 9.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsSPD: 151 seatsGrüne: 144 seatsAfD: 68 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • SPD151
  • Grüne144
  • AfD68
  • FDP55
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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