Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
6 to 12 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,960
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Apr 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,960 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Apr 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Apr 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.2average 17.8
  • FDP -1.1average 9.1
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
  • SPD +0.5average 25.5
  • AfD -0.4average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 24.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 186 seatsCDU/CSU: 179 seatsGrüne: 136 seatsAfD: 72 seatsFDP: 57 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD186
  • CDU/CSU179
  • Grüne136
  • AfD72
  • FDP57
  • SPD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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