Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 April 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
8 to 14 Apr 2021
Respondents
1,437
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Apr 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,437 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Apr 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 28.1
  • SPD -0.8average 15.8
  • FDP -0.7average 9.7
  • Grüne +0.5average 21.5
  • Linke +0.4average 7.6
  • AfD +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsGrüne: 147 seatsSPD: 101 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • Grüne147
  • SPD101
  • AfD74
  • FDP60
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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