Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,987
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Oct 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,987 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Oct 2020, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.2average 5.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 35.7
- AfD -0.6average 10.6
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- Grüne -0.2average 19.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne127
- SPD100
- AfD67
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.