Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 September 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Sep 2020
- Respondents
- 1,534
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU36.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Sep 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,534 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Sep 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Sep 2020, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 19.2
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 36.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- Grüne121
- SPD107
- AfD74
- Linke54
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.