Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 March 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
22 to 28 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,890
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Feb 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,890 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Feb 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 17.3
  • AfD +0.9average 14.1
  • Linke +0.8average 10.2
  • Grüne -0.1average 12.1
  • FDP +0.1average 8.9
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 105 seatsAfD: 98 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD105
  • AfD98
  • Grüne79
  • Linke72
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne394 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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