Single poll
Ipsos poll of 11 November 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Nov 2026
- Respondents
- 2,019
- Method
- Online
In this poll Ipsos has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,019 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Nov 2026, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 8 Oct 2026, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Nov 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 3.9
- Grüne +1.0average 15.0
- AfD -0.9average 27.9
- Linke -0.7average 10.7
- SPD +0.4average 13.6
- BSW -0.1average 3.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 20.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD185
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne110
- SPD96
- Linke68
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD391 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke363 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD343 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.