Single poll

INSA poll of 10 November 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
6 to 9 Nov 2026
Respondents
2,009
Method
Online

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Nov 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.5%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Nov 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Nov 2026, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.4average 10.9
  • FDP +1.2average 3.8
  • AfD +0.7average 27.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 20.1
  • SPD +0.6average 13.4
  • Grüne -0.5average 15.0
  • BSW +0.4average 3.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 197 seatsCDU/CSU: 135 seatsGrüne: 100 seatsSPD: 97 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD197
  • CDU/CSU135
  • Grüne100
  • SPD97
  • Linke66
  • FDP35
  • AfD + CDU/CSU332 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD394 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke363 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke360 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD332 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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