Single poll
INSA poll of 16 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 19.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Sep 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Sep 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.4 points higher and BSW 2.2 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.4average 17.1
- BSW +2.2average 7.8
- Grüne -1.6average 11.6
- Linke -0.8average 3.3
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 32.5
- SPD -0.5average 14.5
- FDP +0.4average 4.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU240
- AfD142
- SPD102
- Grüne73
- BSW73
- CDU/CSU + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW386 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne317 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW317 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 14 Sep 2024INSA, 21 Sep 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.