INSA poll of 29 July 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne10.0%-1.0
- BSW9.5%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.5%+0.5
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jul 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Jul 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jul 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower and BSW 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 12.4
- BSW +2.0average 7.5
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 31.0
- AfD +0.9average 17.1
- SPD +0.6average 14.4
- Linke +0.4average 3.1
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU216
- AfD130
- SPD108
- Grüne72
- BSW68
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.