INSA poll of 13 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- AfD18.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW6.0%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler2.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Apr 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Apr 2024, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.9average 13.9
- AfD +0.6average 17.4
- Freie Wähler -0.6average 2.6
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
- BSW -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- AfD129
- SPD114
- Grüne93
- BSW43
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP344 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.