INSA poll of 24 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+0.5
- AfD19.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- BSW6.0%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler2.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Mar 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Mar 2024, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 17.6
- Grüne -0.8average 13.8
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 2.5
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
- BSW +0.1average 5.9
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- AfD135
- SPD113
- Grüne92
- BSW42
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.