Single poll
INSA poll of 18 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by AfD on 19.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Mar 2024, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 13.9
- AfD +1.3average 18.2
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
- Linke +0.6average 2.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 29.9
- BSW +0.4average 6.1
- FDP +0.2average 4.8
- Freie Wähler ±0average 2.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD139
- SPD114
- Grüne85
- BSW46
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP331 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 16 Mar 2024INSA, 24 Mar 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.