INSA poll of 25 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- AfD19.0%-0.5
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- BSW8.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others4.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Feb 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Feb 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Feb 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.6average 6.4
- Grüne -0.4average 13.4
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- Freie Wähler +0.4average 2.6
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- AfD +0.1average 18.9
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD133
- SPD105
- Grüne91
- BSW56
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.