Single poll
INSA poll of 10 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 1,276
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,276 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Feb 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Feb 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +0.9average 6.1
- FDP -0.8average 4.8
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- AfD +0.4average 19.6
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- Freie Wähler +0.4average 2.6
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- Grüne -0.3average 13.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- AfD148
- SPD111
- Grüne96
- BSW52
- CDU/CSU + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 5 Feb 2024INSA, 12 Feb 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.