INSA poll of 13 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%+0.5
- AfD21.5%+0.5
- SPD16.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.5%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Nov 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 21.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Nov 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Nov 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 14.6
- SPD +0.8average 15.7
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 29.8
- AfD +0.7average 20.8
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- Linke +0.4average 4.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- AfD156
- SPD119
- Grüne98
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne373 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.