INSA poll of 11 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+0.5
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+0.5
- Grüne14.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%-0.5
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Nov 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Nov 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Nov 2023, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.3average 15.7
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 29.8
- AfD +0.2average 20.8
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD152
- SPD123
- Grüne101
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.