INSA poll of 22 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,266
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD22.0%+1.5
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jul 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,266 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Jul 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jul 2023, AfD gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 20.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- Grüne -0.8average 14.8
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- SPD -0.3average 18.3
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- AfD151
- SPD123
- Grüne96
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne397 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.