Single poll

INSA poll of 24 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
19 to 22 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,296
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%+0.5
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%+0.5
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Apr 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,296 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Apr 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Apr 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 24.4
  • SPD -0.9average 24.9
  • AfD +0.8average 10.2
  • Grüne -0.5average 18.5
  • Linke +0.4average 4.6
  • FDP -0.3average 9.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 176 seatsSPD: 163 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 61 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU176
  • SPD163
  • Grüne122
  • AfD74
  • FDP61
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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