Single poll

INSA poll of 19 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
15 to 18 Apr 2022
Respondents
2,073
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD23.5%-1.5
  • Grüne19.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.5%-0.5
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Apr 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 23.5%. 2,073 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Apr 2022, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.9average 25.4
  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 24.8
  • Grüne +0.9average 18.1
  • AfD +0.6average 10.4
  • FDP +0.2average 8.8
  • Linke -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsSPD: 168 seatsGrüne: 135 seatsAfD: 78 seatsFDP: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • SPD168
  • Grüne135
  • AfD78
  • FDP64
  • CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne320 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD381 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP327 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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