Single poll

INSA poll of 3 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
31 Mar 2017 to 3 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,033
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD32.5%+0.5
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+0.5
  • AfD9.0%-2.0
  • FDP6.5%+0.5
  • Grüne6.5%±0
  • Others4.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Mar 2017.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 32.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 32.0%. 2,033 people were surveyed from 31 Mar 2017 to 3 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Mar 2017, AfD loses 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.4average 33.4
  • Linke +1.2average 7.8
  • Grüne -0.9average 7.4
  • SPD +0.6average 31.9
  • FDP +0.5average 6.0
  • AfD ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 215 seatsCDU/CSU: 211 seatsLinke: 59 seatsAfD: 59 seatsFDP: 43 seatsGrüne: 43 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD215
  • CDU/CSU211
  • Linke59
  • AfD59
  • FDP43
  • Grüne43
  • SPD + CDU/CSU426 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + AfD333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD329 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + FDP317 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne317 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP317 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne317 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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