INSA poll of 27 March 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Mar 2017
- Respondents
- 2,034
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- SPD32.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- Linke8.5%±0
- Grüne6.5%±0
- FDP6.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 2,034 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- Grüne -1.0average 7.5
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 32.8
- Linke +0.7average 7.8
- SPD +0.6average 31.4
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD210
- AfD72
- Linke56
- Grüne43
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + SPD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne325 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.