INSA poll of 14 March 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Mar 2017
- Respondents
- 2,051
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%+0.5
- SPD31.0%-0.5
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- Linke8.5%±0
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Grüne6.5%±0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Mar 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Mar 2017, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 32.7
- AfD +1.5average 10.0
- Grüne -1.1average 7.6
- FDP +0.9average 6.1
- Linke +0.5average 8.0
- SPD +0.1average 30.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD204
- AfD76
- Linke56
- FDP46
- Grüne43
- CDU/CSU + SPD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke337 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP327 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne324 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.