Single poll

INSA poll of 7 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
3 to 6 Mar 2017
Respondents
2,022
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD31.5%-0.5
  • CDU/CSU30.5%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke8.5%+0.5
  • FDP7.5%+0.5
  • Grüne6.5%±0
  • Others4.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Feb 2017.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 31.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 30.5%. 2,022 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Feb 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.0average 32.5
  • FDP +1.3average 6.2
  • Grüne -1.2average 7.7
  • SPD +0.9average 30.6
  • AfD +0.6average 10.4
  • Linke +0.5average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 208 seatsCDU/CSU: 201 seatsAfD: 73 seatsLinke: 56 seatsFDP: 49 seatsGrüne: 43 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD208
  • CDU/CSU201
  • AfD73
  • Linke56
  • FDP49
  • Grüne43
  • SPD + CDU/CSU409 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke337 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP330 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke330 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne324 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP323 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne317 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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