Infratest dimap poll of 4 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 3 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,506
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Dec 2017.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Dec 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.8average 9.8
- AfD +0.7average 12.3
- SPD +0.4average 20.6
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 32.8
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
- Grüne -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- SPD138
- AfD85
- Grüne72
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.