Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 15 December 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
11 to 13 Dec 2017
Respondents
1,029
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Dec 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,029 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Dec 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 21.2
  • Grüne +1.1average 10.9
  • AfD +0.9average 12.1
  • Linke -0.6average 9.6
  • FDP -0.4average 9.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 32.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 133 seatsAfD: 86 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD133
  • AfD86
  • Grüne79
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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