Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 November 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 Nov 2026
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Nov 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Nov 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Nov 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.2average 14.8
  • AfD -0.9average 27.9
  • SPD -0.6average 13.6
  • Linke +0.3average 10.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 20.1
  • FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 195 seatsCDU/CSU: 145 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsSPD: 94 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD195
  • CDU/CSU145
  • Grüne116
  • SPD94
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU340 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD405 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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