Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 April 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
4 to 6 Apr 2023
Respondents
1,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Apr 2023.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.1 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.1average 20.1
  • Grüne +1.6average 16.4
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 28.9
  • AfD -1.1average 15.1
  • Linke -0.6average 4.6
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 218 seatsSPD: 130 seatsGrüne: 130 seatsAfD: 101 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU218
  • SPD130
  • Grüne130
  • AfD101
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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