Forsa poll of 4 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Mar 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 28 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Mar 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 19.8
- Grüne +1.4average 16.6
- AfD -1.2average 15.2
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 28.8
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- SPD132
- Grüne132
- AfD103
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP366 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.