Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 October 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Oct 2022
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Oct 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Oct 2022, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.4average 7.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
  • SPD -0.5average 18.5
  • Grüne +0.4average 19.6
  • Linke -0.3average 5.3
  • AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsGrüne: 138 seatsSPD: 125 seatsAfD: 97 seatsFDP: 41 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • Grüne138
  • SPD125
  • AfD97
  • FDP41
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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