Forsa poll of 4 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Sep 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Sep 2022, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.3average 7.3
- SPD -0.7average 18.7
- AfD +0.7average 13.3
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- Grüne -0.3average 20.3
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne138
- SPD125
- AfD97
- FDP41
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.