Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 May 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 May 2022
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Grüne21.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 May 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 May 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.3average 18.7
  • SPD -1.3average 24.3
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 25.0
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • Linke -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsSPD: 165 seatsGrüne: 150 seatsFDP: 65 seatsAfD: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • SPD165
  • Grüne150
  • FDP65
  • AfD64
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP380 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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