Forsa poll of 3 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Apr 2022 to 2 May 2022
- Respondents
- 2,508
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- SPD23.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Apr 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,508 people were surveyed from 26 Apr 2022 to 2 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 24.4
- AfD -1.3average 10.3
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 24.8
- Grüne +1.2average 18.8
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- FDP -0.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- SPD167
- Grüne145
- FDP65
- AfD65
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP377 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.