Single poll

Forsa poll of 12 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
5 to 11 Apr 2022
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Apr 2022.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Apr 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Apr 2022, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.8 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.8average 25.2
  • Grüne +1.6average 17.4
  • AfD -1.4average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 25.3
  • FDP -1.3average 9.3
  • Linke -0.7average 4.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 195 seatsCDU/CSU: 174 seatsGrüne: 138 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD195
  • CDU/CSU174
  • Grüne138
  • AfD65
  • FDP58
  • SPD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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