Single poll

Forsa poll of 5 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
29 Mar 2022 to 4 Apr 2022
Respondents
2,508
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD27.0%+3.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-2.0
  • Grüne19.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Mar 2022.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,508 people were surveyed from 29 Mar 2022 to 4 Apr 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Mar 2022, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.9 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.9average 25.1
  • Grüne +1.9average 17.1
  • FDP -1.6average 9.6
  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 25.5
  • AfD -1.1average 10.1
  • Linke -0.9average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 195 seatsCDU/CSU: 174 seatsGrüne: 138 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD195
  • CDU/CSU174
  • Grüne138
  • AfD65
  • FDP58
  • SPD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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