Single poll

Forsa poll of 14 December 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
7 to 13 Dec 2021
Respondents
2,509
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-2.0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Dec 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 2,509 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Dec 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Dec 2021, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.5average 12.5
  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 21.7
  • SPD -1.0average 27.0
  • AfD -0.8average 10.8
  • Grüne -0.7average 15.7
  • Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 182 seatsCDU/CSU: 161 seatsGrüne: 105 seatsFDP: 77 seatsAfD: 70 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD182
  • CDU/CSU161
  • Grüne105
  • FDP77
  • AfD70
  • Linke35
  • SPD + CDU/CSU343 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP364 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD329 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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